2024 Presidential Election Predictions Cnn. The results of this month’s election point toward a 2024 presidential contest that will likely be decided by a tiny sliver of voters in a rapidly shrinking list of swing states. 538’s 2024 presidential election forecast model showing democrat kamala harris’s and republican donald trump’s chances of winning.
Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll’s recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. The results of this month’s election point toward a 2024 presidential contest that will likely be decided by a tiny sliver of voters in a rapidly shrinking list of swing states.